WE ASKED UPK PROVIDERS HOW A RATIO DECREASE WOULD AFFECT THEM.

This is what they said....

UPK Ratio Change: Impact on Colorado Programs
Colorado UPK Policy Analysis ยท 2026

Proposed Ratio Decreases Will Financially Devastate Colorado Preschool Programs

241 Colorado Universal Preschool programs responded to a survey on the fiscal impact of proposed adult-to-child ratio decreases. The results are clear โ€” and alarming.

241
Programs responded
93%
Of affected programs can't afford the loss
$8.35M
Total projected annual revenue loss
456
Children who would lose access
59%
Were unaware of the requirement
โš ๏ธ The proposed change: Mandatory ratio decrease from 1:12 โ†’ 1:11 starting summer 2026, then to 1:10 in 2027 โ€” with no safety-based justification provided by the state.
Awareness

Most Programs Had No Idea This Was Coming

Of 241 programs surveyed, a majority were completely unaware of the mandated ratio change โ€” raising serious questions about the state's outreach and implementation process.

๐Ÿ”” 59% of programs were unaware of the requirement

That's 141 out of 241 programs โ€” the majority โ€” who had not been informed of a major regulatory change affecting their operations starting this summer.

41% Aware
59% Unaware (141 programs)

n=241 respondents

Impact Scope

More Than Half of Programs Are Affected or At Risk

When programs with conditional impact ("Yes, if I reach full enrollment") are included, 51% of respondents face direct financial harm from the ratio change.

Will the ratio decrease affect your program?

n=241 programs

Of those affected: Can your program afford the revenue loss?

n=122 programs reporting affordability
33
Programs "barely surviving
โ€” this will make it impossible"
62
Programs "hanging in there
โ€” this will make it harder"
95
Total programs in
financial distress
39%
Of all respondents describe
themselves in hardship
Financial Impact

Staggering Financial Losses Across the State

Programs that reported financial figures project a combined loss of over $8.3 million annually โ€” and these are only the programs that completed the survey.

$8.35M
Total projected annual revenue loss across surveyed programs
Based on 98 programs that provided cost estimates
$85,174
Average annual revenue loss per affected program
Median loss: $45,240/year
456
Children who would lose preschool access in these programs alone
Based on 91 programs reporting children lost
$888K
Highest single-program projected annual loss reported
Range: $1K โ€“ $888,860 per program

Distribution of Annual Revenue Loss

98 programs that provided cost estimates

Annual Loss by Program Setting

Total projected loss aggregated by setting type
By Program Type

Community-Based Programs Are Hit Hardest

Community-based centers โ€” the backbone of Colorado's private childcare sector โ€” face the highest rate of impact, while school districts are largely insulated due to structural advantages.

Program Setting Total Responses Directly or Conditionally Affected % Affected Impact Level Can't Afford Loss
Community Based 166 102
61%
Critical 96% (97 of 101)
Home-Based 40 13
32%
High 77% (10 of 13)
School District 34 8
23%
Moderate 87% (7 of 8)
Head Start 1 0
0%
Low โ€”
By Quality Rating

Lower-Rated Programs Bear a Disproportionate Burden

Ironically, programs with Colorado Shines ratings of 1โ€“3 โ€” those most in need of support โ€” face the highest rates of impact. Higher-rated (Level 5) programs are largely exempt due to existing ratio flexibility.

% of Programs Affected by Colorado Shines Rating

Direct + conditional impact combined, by rating level

๐Ÿ“Œ Note on Rating 5 Programs

Only 22% of Level 5 programs report being affected โ€” many have already achieved lower ratios and are not impacted by the 1:11 threshold. The state's policy may be inadvertently punishing programs that are actively working toward higher quality without yet achieving the top rating.

Voices from the Field

What Programs Want the State to Know

These are direct quotes from Colorado UPK program directors, educators, and providers โ€” in their own words.

This proposed overregulation will make it significantly harder for families to continue care in the school of their choice. To maintain operations with a lower ratio, centers will be forced to increase tuition for all students to offset the financial loss. Many centers, including ours, may be forced to withdraw from UPK participation entirely. This outcome would ultimately disadvantage the very families the program aims to support.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

I will be forced to pick between this or losing staff. If I lose staff I will then have to lose 4 children as well โ€” a loss of $64,480 a year. This is not in the best interest of all children right now, especially with a deficit in childcare seats and need for care.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

Reducing these ratios means that all kids, UPK or not, will not have the opportunity to have a spot in our academy. What is the clear reasoning behind making this arbitrary decision that fewer children make a better program? The curriculum and the environment is what's important โ€” not just a headcount.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

It is hard enough to survive. Why are they making it harder? It makes me want to give up.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

The public elementary schools are taking all of the students from preschool and PreK. This makes it very difficult to get enrollments, which is seriously hurting our business. This ratio change adds yet another layer of harm.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

Not fair to require different programs within the state to adhere to one rule, especially when it affects programs' incomes. The QRIS refresh isn't scheduled to wrap up until Jan 2028 โ€” ratio changes should be paused until that process is complete.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

We can not afford financially to give up those 9 seats. We thrive with a rating of 4 through Colorado Shines and continue to positively impact families within our community. Going through with this ratio decrease can impact our community as well as us as a center.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

As a home-based provider, I have limited space and staffing. This ratio change puts more pressure on me to either take on more children than is manageable or lose income. Even losing a small number of children has a big financial impact. This change feels like it's pushing smaller providers out of the UPK system entirely.

Colorado UPK Program
Home Based

With the CCAP cut, staff salary increases, and now decreasing ratios โ€” it's affecting everything financially. Please stop passing or proposing initiatives that hurt our preschool and childcare centers.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

Key Findings for State Policymakers

The data collected from 241 Colorado UPK programs paints a consistent and urgent picture. The proposed ratio changes lack safety justification and carry severe, documented financial consequences.

๐Ÿ“ฃ

Lack of Awareness

59% of programs were unaware of this requirement โ€” signaling a failure in state communication and inadequate implementation planning.

๐Ÿ’ฐ

Catastrophic Revenue Loss

$8.35M in projected annual losses across surveyed programs alone. 93% of affected programs say they cannot absorb the hit.

๐Ÿ‘ถ

Children Lose Access

456 children across 91 programs would be turned away โ€” the opposite of the UPK program's mission to expand preschool access.

๐Ÿš๏ธ

Programs at Risk of Closure

33 programs say they are "barely surviving" โ€” this change would make continued operation impossible. 62 more say it makes an already hard situation worse.

โš–๏ธ

Unequal Impact

Community-based programs face a 61% impact rate vs. 23% for school districts โ€” deepening inequity between private providers and publicly-funded institutions.

๐Ÿšซ

No Safety Justification

Programs universally question the rationale. The state has not provided evidence that 1:12 is unsafe. The move appears to be regulatory, not child-safety, driven.

Colorado Early Childhood Education Association (CCEA) ยท Survey conducted March 2026 ยท 241 UPK program respondents statewide
Data reflects self-reported responses from program directors and providers. Financial figures are program estimates.

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