WE ASKED UPK PROVIDERS HOW A RATIO DECREASE WOULD AFFECT THEM.

This is what they said....

UPK Ratio Change: Impact on Colorado Programs
Colorado UPK Policy Analysis ยท 2026

Proposed Ratio Decreases Will Financially Devastate Lower-Rated Colorado Preschools

109 Colorado UPK programs at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3 responded about the fiscal impact of the proposed 1:11 ratio requirement. The results are clear โ€” and alarming.

109
Directly affected programs (Ratings 1โ€“3)
91%
Of affected programs can't afford the loss
$2.88M
Total projected annual revenue loss
234
Children who would lose access
53%
Were unaware of the requirement
โš ๏ธ The proposed change: Mandatory ratio decrease from 1:12 โ†’ 1:11 starting summer 2026, then to 1:10 in 2027 โ€” with no safety-based justification provided by the state.

Who does this rule apply to? The ratio decrease applies only to UPK programs at Colorado Shines Quality Ratings 1, 2, and 3. Programs at Ratings 4 and 5 are exempt because they already maintain lower ratios. Of the 241 programs that responded to our survey, 109 are in Ratings 1โ€“3 and subject to this requirement.

Scope of Impact

Ratings 1โ€“3 Programs Bear the Full Burden

Out of 241 total survey respondents, 109 are at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3 and directly subject to the ratio decrease. Ratings 4 and 5 programs are exempt โ€” but a state-imposed freeze on Colorado Shines ratings means programs currently cannot advance their rating to gain that exemption.

Affected by ratio change (Ratings 1โ€“3) Exempt from ratio change (Ratings 4โ€“5)
1
Affected by rule
30 programs
2
Affected by rule
65 programs
3
Affected by rule
14 programs
4
Exempt from rule
87 programs
5
Exempt from rule
45 programs
๐Ÿ”’

The Colorado Shines Rating Freeze Makes This Worse

The state has frozen the Colorado Shines rating pathway โ€” programs cannot currently advance to a higher rating even if they qualify. This means that programs at Ratings 1โ€“3 that are actively working to improve have no pathway to earn an exemption before the rule takes effect this summer. Multiple programs have noted the rating freeze is not scheduled to lift until July 2026, and the interim pathway is not yet available. Requiring ratio compliance while blocking the path to exemption is a direct contradiction.

Awareness

More Than Half of Affected Programs Had No Idea This Was Coming

Among the 109 programs at Ratings 1โ€“3, 53% were completely unaware of the mandated ratio change โ€” raising serious questions about the state's outreach, especially to the programs most financially vulnerable.

๐Ÿ”” 53% of affected programs were unaware of the requirement

That's 58 out of 109 programs subject to this rule who had not been informed of a major regulatory change affecting their operations starting this summer.

47% Aware (51)
53% Unaware (58 programs)

n=109 respondents at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3

Impact Scope

62% of Affected Programs Face Direct Financial Harm

Among the 109 programs subject to the rule, 62% are directly impacted or will be impacted as they grow enrollment โ€” and of those, 91% say they cannot afford the loss.

Will the ratio decrease affect your program?

n=109 programs at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3

Can your program afford the revenue loss?

n=68 affected programs reporting affordability
20
Programs "barely surviving
โ€” this will make it impossible"
32
Programs "hanging in there
โ€” this will make it harder"
52
Total programs describing
themselves in financial distress
48%
Of all Rating 1โ€“3 respondents
describe themselves in hardship
Financial Impact

Nearly $3 Million in Projected Annual Losses

Programs at Ratings 1โ€“3 that reported financial figures project a combined loss of $2.88 million annually โ€” and these are only the programs that completed the survey.

$2.88M
Total projected annual revenue loss across Rating 1โ€“3 programs
Based on 48 programs that provided cost estimates
$60,058
Average annual revenue loss per affected program
Median loss: $40,000/year
234
Children who would lose preschool access
Based on 48 programs reporting children lost
$637K
Highest single-program projected annual loss
Range: under $1K โ€“ $637,000 per program

Distribution of Annual Revenue Loss

48 Rating 1โ€“3 programs that provided cost estimates

Total Annual Loss by Program Setting

Aggregated projected loss among Rating 1โ€“3 programs
By Program Type

Community-Based Centers Hit Hardest

Among Rating 1โ€“3 programs, community-based centers face a 73% impact rate. School districts, even at lower ratings, have structural buffers that private providers do not.

Program Setting Rating 1โ€“3 Responses Directly or Conditionally Affected % Affected Impact Level Can't Afford Loss
Community Based 75 55
73%
Critical 94% (52 of 55)
Home-Based 20 10
50%
High 70% (7 of 10)
School District 14 3
21%
Moderate 100% (3 of 3)
Voices from the Field

What Rating 1โ€“3 Programs Want the State to Know

These are direct quotes from Colorado UPK program directors and providers at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3 โ€” the programs that will be most directly impacted.

This proposed overregulation will make it significantly harder for families to continue care in the school of their choice. Centers will be forced to increase tuition for all students to offset the financial loss. Many centers may be forced to withdraw from UPK participation entirely โ€” ultimately disadvantaging the very families the program aims to support.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

There is currently a freeze on centers' ratings for Colorado Shines due to a lack of funding, and there is no recourse to get a higher rating to avoid the decreased ratio. While that is the case, the adjusted ratios should be postponed.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

Reducing the staff-to-child ratio by even one child creates a disproportionate financial and operational burden. While the change may appear minor on paper, the impact is significant in practice. Losing a single child per classroom directly reduces revenue, yet staffing costs, rent, and overhead remain the same.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

What is the benefit of any of this to providers? More paperwork, more rules, less children, no income. This program is killing us both financially and mentally.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

The state wants us to pay teachers and assistants decent living wages, but then takes money away from us that makes it possible to pay staff. Makes no sense.

Colorado UPK Program
School District

It is hard enough to survive. Why are they making it harder? It makes me want to give up.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

As a home-based provider, I have limited space and staffing. This ratio change puts more pressure on me to either take on more children than is manageable or lose income. Even losing a small number of children has a big financial impact. This change will make it harder to maintain both quality care and financial sustainability.

Colorado UPK Program
Home Based

There is no evidence that lowering the ratio will improve performance or increase learning. ZERO.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

In a time when we are trying to increase wages and benefits for ECE professionals so that they can make a livable salary โ€” reducing the ratio in UPK would be detrimental to this effort. I will not be able to pay higher salaries, contribute to retirement funds, or offer better health benefits.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

With all the changes in Colorado Shines and licensing โ€” this is an added issue. To be a Level 4 or 5 you keep ratio at 1:10, so this is one of the reasons we don't want to be Level 4 or 5. We have been operating at 1:12 for 15 years and it works well for our program.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

Please leave the ratios to licensing. We should be helping as many families as possible with UPK funding, not taking it away from more families.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

The amount of lost revenue is basically paying a teacher for a year.

Colorado UPK Program
Community Based

Key Findings for State Policymakers

The data from 109 Colorado UPK programs at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3 tells a consistent and urgent story. The proposed ratio changes carry severe, documented financial consequences โ€” with no safety justification provided.

๐Ÿ”’

Ratings Freeze Eliminates Escape Route

The Colorado Shines freeze means programs cannot upgrade their rating to gain the Level 4/5 exemption, even if they qualify. Programs are trapped.

๐Ÿ“ฃ

Lack of Awareness

53% of affected programs were unaware of this requirement โ€” a failure in state communication for a rule taking effect this summer.

๐Ÿ’ฐ

$2.88M in Projected Annual Losses

91% of affected programs say they cannot absorb the hit. The average annual loss per program is $60,058.

๐Ÿ‘ถ

234 Children Lose Access

The children displaced are those in programs working toward quality improvement โ€” the exact families UPK is meant to serve.

๐Ÿš๏ธ

Programs at Risk of Closure

20 programs say they are "barely surviving" โ€” this change makes continued operation impossible. 32 more say it makes an already hard situation worse.

๐Ÿšซ

No Safety Justification

Programs universally question the rationale. No evidence has been provided that 1:12 is unsafe. This appears to be a policy decision, not a child-safety one.

Early Childhood Education Association of Colorado (ECEA) ยท Survey conducted March 2026 ยท 109 UPK programs at Quality Ratings 1โ€“3 (of 241 total respondents)
Data reflects self-reported responses from program directors and providers. Financial figures are program estimates.