UPK Ratio Decrease: What 75 Providers Told CDEC | ECEA
CDEC Leadership Meeting - May 2026

75 Providers Told CDEC What the Ratio Decrease Would Do.
The Data Is Unambiguous.

Survey results presented directly to Colorado Department of Early Childhood leadership. This is what private childcare providers in Colorado said.

75
Providers who responded to the survey
89%
Cannot realistically pursue the Level 4 alternate pathway
67%
Will reduce enrollment - fewer children served
~$5,600
Average monthly revenue loss per provider

By the Numbers

75 Colorado private childcare providers responded to an urgent survey in May 2026 about the UPK ratio decrease mandate for the 2026-27 school year. These are their direct, unfiltered responses.

89%
Cannot Realistically Pursue Level 4 Pathway
67 of 75 providers
67%
Will Reduce Enrollment if Change Takes Effect
50 of 75 providers
~$5,600
Average Monthly Revenue Loss Per Provider
Based on 48 providers giving specific figures
$148K
Highest Single-Provider Annual Revenue Impact
Range: $15,000 - $148,000/year

Can Providers Pursue the Level 4 Alternate Pathway?

No - Both cost AND time prohibitive 56% (42)
More than half say they face both barriers simultaneously
No - Not enough time 32% (24)
No - Too cost-prohibitive 1% (1)
Yes, can pursue Level 4 11% (8)

If the Change Takes Effect, the Most Likely Outcome Is:

Reduce Enrollment 67% (50)
Families lose childcare spots - directly impacts access
Reduce Staff 16% (12)
Considering Closure 4% (3)
No Significant Impact 13% (10)

Financial Impact at a Glance

~$67K
Average Annualized Revenue Loss Per Provider
Based on monthly figures reported
$25K-$55K
Cost of One Additional Teacher Per Year
Required to maintain current enrollment under new ratio
$148K
Highest Reported Annual Impact
"That covers more than 3 staff salaries"

The Alternate Pathway Doesn't Exist Right Now

CDEC's stated solution for providers who want to keep the current 1:12 ratio is to obtain a Level 4 Colorado Shines rating. There is one critical problem with that solution.

Colorado Shines Ratings Are PAUSED Until January 2028

The state has frozen all QRIS ratings and rerate processes. Providers who want to earn or improve their Colorado Shines rating cannot do so right now - regardless of their qualifications, effort, or willingness to invest. The alternate pathway CDEC is offering is structurally inaccessible. The ratio decrease will apply to virtually every provider in Colorado by default.

"CDEC would continue to reduce ratios when the avenue to keep a 1:12 ratio is a rating that is not available. Since Shines ratings and the UPK on site observations are PAUSED until January 2028, it would make the most sense to PAUSE the ratio decrease until programs have a reasonable amount of time to obtain a rating."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"How can you decrease the ratio if you are not doing QRIS ratings? Centers are being punished for something outside of their control!"
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"I have been denied a rerate with all of the changes coming and they are not allowing for ratings to go higher right now. And to ensure we have staff, we have to pay them year around - reducing the ratio will heavily impact our operations, possibly for us to not have UPK at all."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"Hasn't the state stopped ratings until 2028?? This is ridiculous. I am definitely considering closure."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider

Commitments Were Already Made - to Families and to Providers

Providers enrolled families for 2026-27 based on current ratios. Many are already at or near full enrollment. And the 2-year implementation timeline was not a provider demand - it was the recommendation of the Rules Advisory Council, the body CDEC itself assembled to guide this policy.

"We have approved 24 kids to be in our program for next year. If you make this change, we will be required to turn away families that are depending on us and who have been with us since they were babies."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"When we signed up for UPK, we were told we would be able to continue to operate our programs in the high-quality standards that they were. You are now inserting changes and expectations. We were told at the beginning that would not occur."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"It doesn't feel fair to make a significant change like this so late in the process after plans, staffing, and enrollment decisions have already been made."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"We are currently going through Cognia accreditation but will not be able to achieve it this year. The financial burden of losing 2 enrollments OR adding a third teacher would force us to replace experienced teachers with cheaper options. This perpetuates a cycle of lower quality care."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider

A New Amendment Is Being Brought Back Through a Questionable Process

After receiving the RAC's recommendation, CDEC cited post-process input from three groups to justify bringing a new amendment back to the RAC for another vote. The problem: all three groups had the opportunity to participate in the original RAC process.

🏫
Montessori Programs
Operate under their own pedagogical philosophy and ratios. Not the community-based private providers who bear the financial weight of this change.
🏠
Family Child Care Homes
A different licensing category with different ratio structures. Their operational reality is not comparable to center-based programs.
👨‍👩‍👧
Family Voice Council
Family perspective on child outcomes is valuable - but it is not provider input on operational viability. These are different questions requiring different expertise.
The Central Concern

None of these three groups represent the segment that bears the actual financial impact of the ratio change. Using late-stage input from constituencies that aren't primarily affected - to reopen a closed advisory process - circumvents the rulemaking structure that is supposed to protect providers and the public from exactly this kind of outcome. If CDEC can always find a sympathetic audience after a RAC decision to justify a second vote, the RAC process means nothing.

What Providers Want CDEC to Know

These are direct quotes from survey respondents - real program directors and owners across Colorado.

"A reduction in ratios directly impacts our ability to retain experienced, highly qualified teachers and continue providing high-quality care. Our fixed costs - including rent, insurance, workers' compensation - do not decrease with these funding changes. As a result, the burden falls on teacher salaries."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"We would lose 6 spots going from 1:12 to 1:11. This is equivalent to $37,152 in annual revenue. That is basically paying a teacher for a year."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"There is no evidence that lowering the ratio will improve performance or increase learning. If that were true, all public kindergarten classes would have to operate at a lower ratio."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"Universal Pre-K policies are inadvertently penalizing high-quality, established centers. Our program has a stellar reputation, extensive waitlists, and an incredibly rare asset: a veteran teaching staff with over 10 years of tenure and virtually zero turnover. Despite this, the current framework uses subjective metrics that do not measure real-world quality."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"An extra UPK teacher would cost our center $55,000 per year - $110,000 if we needed two. If UPK can cover that cost, we would be happy to reduce our ratios. At this time, it is unfair to put this impact on centers."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider
"Do more research before putting policies into place."
Survey Respondent - Colorado Provider

What We Are Asking CDEC to Do

Primary Ask: Pause the Ratio Decrease Until Shines Ratings Resume

It is unreasonable to enforce a new ratio requirement while simultaneously freezing the only compliance pathway available to providers. The ratio decrease should be paused, at minimum, until Colorado Shines ratings resume and providers have had a full 2-year window to pursue Level 4 - the timeline the Rules Advisory Council (RAC) originally recommended.

  • 1
    Honor the RAC's 2-year timeline recommendation. The Rules Advisory Council is the body CDEC convened to guide this policy. Overriding it through a second amendment driven by post-process input from non-impacted constituencies undermines the integrity of the entire rulemaking process.
  • 2
    If the ratio change moves forward, increase per-child UPK reimbursement to offset lost enrollment revenue. Providers cannot absorb this cost on current subsidy rates. The state cannot simultaneously reduce providers' earning capacity and decline to compensate for the loss.
  • 3
    Establish a formal, transparent process before any future ratio or requirement changes. Providers enrolled families, hired staff, and made business decisions based on the rules in place. Late-cycle changes break commitments to families and erode trust in UPK as a viable partnership.
  • 4
    Show us the evidence. No peer-reviewed data has been provided demonstrating that the specific ratio change from 1:12 to 1:11 improves child outcomes. Providers and families deserve to know what justifies a disruption of this magnitude.

Private Providers Are Not the Obstacle to Quality Early Childhood Care in Colorado.

We are the infrastructure. Policies that destabilize us destabilize access for tens of thousands of Colorado families - the exact families UPK was created to serve.

Together We Are Stronger.

Early Childhood Education Association of Colorado (ECEA)  |  [email protected]  |  coloradoecea.org

Survey conducted May 2026  |  75 Colorado private childcare providers  |  Data reflects self-reported responses from program directors and owners